The 2024 elections will decide the existence of many small parties and one of the oldest national parties, Congress. This election has the potential to decide the faith of the Congress will still remain as the opposition party or not. It will also have the potential to make the opposition delegated giving BJP an upper hand in upcoming elections. Indian National Congress is a binding power and is the only effective national political party which has the potential to challenge the BJP due to its history as a grand old political party. One side Congress is sinking but making efforts to unite like minded political parties against BJP, on the other hand Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) has set an ambitious target of winning 400 plus seats in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, much more than in 2019. The Lok Sabha has 543 seats, and the BJP had won 282 and 303 of them in 2014 and 2019 respectively.
The 2024 elections are one the crucial elections India is going to see and the winner of it will decide the fate of India for more than 5 years. The two main political parties The BJP and The Congress and their alliances the N.D.A and the I.N.D.I.A are the main candidates of the elections and everyone is looking up to them. I.N.D.I.A alliance is led by the Congress and is not a stable alliance as many members of that alliance are fighting among themselves making the alliance weak and fragile while on the other side there is the N.D.A alliance lead by the BJP which is comparatively a stable alliance and an alliance with the promoting ideology of Hindutva is a strong alliance. The I.N.D.I.A alliance is formed by leaders like Rahul Gandhi, Mamata Banerjee, Lalu Prasad Yadav, Stalin and so on to unitedly fight against the BJP led N.D.A alliance.
I.N.D.I.A Alliance is formed on the bases of math which means if they combine the seats of every other political party which are not on the side of BJP we will win the elections easily and this math this calculation is not bad but on ground they have to compete with BJP by campaigning and they should also have a prime ministerial candidate because as of now there are no prime ministerial candidates recognized in the I.N.D.I.A Alliance. The India alliance should realize that opposing every action of BJP will not make them win elections as BJP even though they want to play politics on the bases of Hindu-Muslim divide.
The opposition was almost united in 2019 in many states but that opportunistic alliances could hardly dent the Modi juggernaut. The idea that a common opposition alliance with a common leader, common political program and a common candidate will be successful is an inherently flawed idea. The visibility of more unity by disparate outfits is unlikely to impress people. This clearly sent the message that the Congress is not ready to cede its leadership role, which is the biggest hindrance to opposition unity.
AAP Supremo, Arvind Kejriwal visualizes himself as the only alternative to Narendra Modi and his political gains are at the cost of the Congress party. He is unlikely to be in the same basket as the Congress party. At present almost all the good leaders of his party are in jail under some or the other allegations. BJP is tightening the snooze to build pressure on him, in such circumstances he has no scope to aim for the PM seat. The Samajwadi Party is focused on Uttar Pradesh and is unlikely to cede its predominant position as main opposition in the largest state. Moreover, it has limited national ambitions. Mamata Banerjee has already declared that her TMC will go it alone in the next General Elections. She herself has Prime Ministerial ambitions. Will Rahul sacrifice his own ambitions to bring her to the opposition fold? Will other regional satraps like Stalin, Sharad Pawar etc accept Mamata as their leader? There’s no clarity about who will finally become the leader and that is a bone of contention. Most probably, the opposition parties will keep the contentious issue of leadership aside for the post poll period. But that will erode voter confidence in the fragile unity of the opposition. The regional aspirations of the leaders and parties will pose immense difficulties in forging a national unity. The voters know that such a combination of disparate political outfits will not provide a stable government. There will be voter hesitation in coming forward to vote for such a combination to power.
I strongly believe that Modi is expected to triumph in 2024.
