Sunday, June 20, 2021
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Huge turnout: Anti-incumbency or something else?

Mumbai is ready for voting. Everybody is advising and appealing to each other to cast their votes. Even if we see the pattern or trends then till now, it has been reported that people’s turn out is much higher than previous elections. It might be anti-incumbency or something else also. People are showing their ‘inked’ fingers on Facebook, Twitter and whatsapp; this might be another factor for the high turnout. I will also appeal to my readers to go and vote for the change. If you think that your sitting MPs have done something good for you and your area, then vote for them else vote out them.

So far, voting has been completed for around 200 Lok Sabha seats. The important thing to be noted is that in Lok Sabha elections, 2014, the voting percentage has gone up by 10 per cent, on an average, when compared to 2009 elections. Be it Delhi, Haryana, UP or Southern Indian states, rise in voting percentage has been observed from across the country.

The national capital records an impressive poll percentage of 64 per cent in 2014, whereas the 2009 poll percentage was 51.85 per cent, i.e. 12 per cent rise.

Around 61 per cent voting has been recorded in Karnataka in 2014. It is 14 per cent higher than the 2009 elections. The total voter turn-out in Odisha is 74 per cent in 2014 against 65.3 per cent polling in last general elections in 2009, which shows a 9.7 per cent rise. In Western Uttar Pradesh, 65 per cent voting was recorded in 2014. This region saw a 14 per cent rise from 51.30 per cent in 2009 Lok Sabha polls.

The rise of on an average 10 per cent reflects a positive thing that people are getting aware about the value of their votes. As I see the trends, the overall average voting percentage might go 14 to 16 per cent in this general election as compared to previous elections.

An election surveying agency said that rise in voting is due to ‘anti-incumbency’ factor and is a negative sign for the present government. The people are angry with the current government and they need a change now. That is the reason behind the increase in the huge voter turnout.

In 2009 elections, the voting age population was 73.8 crores, total electorate was 41.7 crores and the polling percentage was 58.17 per cent. Whereas in 2014, the voting age population is 81.6 crores and the people on voting list are 57.12 crores and the expected polling percentage is 70 per cent.

In fourth phase of the election, the voter turnout in the 13 states and UTs was 76.90 per cent in Arunachal Pradesh, Goa (76.83 per cent), Haryana (71.86 per cent), Kerala (74.02 per cent), Meghalaya (69.03 per cent), Nagaland (88.57 per cent), Delhi (65.09 per cent), Sikkim (80.96 per cent), Tripura (84.90 per cent), Andaman and Nicobar Islands (70.77 per cent), Chandigarh (73.57 per cent), Lakshadweep (86.79 per cent) and Mizoram (61.70 per cent).

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