Wednesday, June 23, 2021
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Gujarat polls a litmus test for Modi

With the announcement of the election schedule for Gujarat Assembly polls, both BJP and Congress have begun an elaborate exercise of selecting suitable candidates for the selected constituencies. The BJP’s state parliamentary board has been holding meetings in Ahmedabad to discuss potential candidates. It will make a panel of two candidates for each seat and then the final decision will be taken by the national parliamentary board. The election will prove the acceptance of demonetisation and the GST. So it will be a litmus test for Narendra Modi and BJP. Let us wait and watch the election process go without rigging and the present government retain power without much controversy. Since numbers of parties are entering election fray, the spread of vote share will see BJP back to its appointed place in Gujarat politics. The party is not taking anything for granted and work hard to gain confidence of the people. Shankersinh Vaghela split from Congress give an added edge to the National party. It may prove to be a game changer in the final analysis.

It is proved beyond doubt that Modinomics is not just theory and in practical also it worked wonders as India jumps 30 notches to touch 100t rank in the World’s Bank’s ease of doing business ranking. This is due to slew of reforms in taxation, licensing, investor protection and bankruptcy resolution. Gabbar Singh mockery failed to enthuse the World Bank as well as the general public. The ranking comes as a shot in the arm for the Narendra Modi government amid dissenting voices in certain quarters about the implementation of the Goods and Services Tax (GST) as well as demonetisation. The significant rise is due to improved following on dealing with construction permits getting timely credit, protecting minority investors, paying taxes, enforcing contracts and resolving insolvency.  Now the aim is come in the top 50 and it is achievable with this constant attempt to give boost to our economy. The country is progressing well under NDA Government and this is one more proof for having achieved economical goal in a record time.

After a slow start and demoralising views expressed by the opposition on demonetisation and GST, the blues expressed by the BJP and non BJP members now slowly turning into gold. The so called thin opposition does not have a word to speak about the reforms showing desired results. A surprise increase in sales volumes of consumer packaged goods companies has boosted the hopes of a remarkable recovery in consumption demand. This includes rural consumption and that too show positive results. That gives a leeway for the run up to the implementation of GST, the cash dependents wholesale channel started to down inventory impacting supplies to the interiors of the country.

Congress has no concrete issues to raise against BJP, so Congress is trying to create division in the name of caste but the move may not succeed in dividing Gujarat into caste lines with a handful of leaders who are not recognised by their own community.  So Hardik Patel may not be a key factor in deciding the vote bank. On the other hand, Narendra Modi is having that clout needed to succeed in a state election. It did make an impact in the largest state Uttar Pradesh with an overwhelming majority. BJP is playing its card close to the chest and make the CM candidate and release the manifesto for Gujarat at an appropriate time. AAPs stance is hanging in balance and it may offer a helping hand and may switch gears to join the ruling party if needed. It will be tough test for the policies of the Union Government to get much needed recognition and Gujarat election results will pave way for better developmental plan for the people in the coastal state in the years to come.

(The views expressed by the author in the article are his/her own.)

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