A quarter of the more than 200,000 civilians killed in Syria’s conflict since 2011 have been women and children, and the high rate of non-combatant deaths has likely fuelled the refugee crisis, a study released on Wednesday said.
The proportion and cause of these civilian deaths differed in government-held and rebel areas, said the study, published in the British Medical Journal.
In zones governed by the regime of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, 23 per cent of civilians who died were children. In areas held by either the Islamic State or other opposition groups, the corresponding figure was 16 per cent.
When it comes to cause of death, however, the contrast is sharper.
Three-quarters of children who died in parts of the country controlled by non-state armed groups were killed by shelling and air bombardments, mostly from regime forces.
In government-held areas, no child deaths were due to air bombardment, with two-thirds of the fatalities caused by shelling alone.
“The government and rebel factions in Syria typically claim that the targets of their bombs and shells are enemy combatant strongholds,” the study notes.
“But our findings indicate that for Syrian children these are the weapons most likely to cause death.”
This same pattern held during the nearly decade-long conflict in Iraq. But child deaths from bombing and shelling during the 1991-95 war in Croatia were very rare, the study said.
In Syria, it is not known to what extent children have been deliberately targeted, or are “collateral damage”.
The study, led by Debarati Guha-Sapir, a professor of disaster epidemiology at the Universite Catholique de Louvain in Brussels, is the first to analyse the impact of various weapons on different categories of civilians in Syria’s civil war.
“We found evidence that children and women had higher odds of death by explosive weapons and chemical weaponry, relative to shootings and compared with civilian men,” the researchers wrote.