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Tata Steel numbers to improve on India ramp-up, UK operations rejig

Moody’s Investors Service on May 27 said greenfield expansion of Tata Steel operations in India and expected restructuring of UK operations improve earnings, but kept its ratings unchanged.

Tata Steel-AVThe global ratings agency in February downgraded credit ratings of Tata Steel by two notches to Ba3 from Ba1 on a weaker than expected operating performance in its key operating markets of India, Europe and South-East Asia on account of persistently weak steel prices.

“Ratings on Tata Steel (Ba3 negative) and Tata Steel UK Holdings (B3 negative) remain unchanged at this point in time despite their weak operating results for the full year ended March 2016,” Moody’s said in a statement.

Tata Steel reported consolidated revenue of Rs 1,172 billion and consolidated underlying EBITDA of Rs 79 billion, down 16 per cent and 39 per cent, respectively, from a year ago.

“… the results for the quarter ended March 2016 showed a substantial improvement over the previous trailing quarter with consolidated revenue and EBITDA of Rs 295 billion and Rs 23 billion, an increase of 5 per cent and 171 per cent respectively,” it said.

The improvement in the operating performance was a result of the general uptick in global steel prices in February and March, after an all-time drop in January.

“We estimate consolidated adjusted leverage of 8.7x at March 2016, slightly below the peak of 9.0x at December 2015. Looking ahead into 2016-17, we expect leverage to correct towards 6.5x-7.5x,” said Kaustubh Chaubal, Moody’s Vice-President and Senior Analyst.

Tata Steel’s reported gross debt of Rs 862 billion at March 2016 rose by only Rs 55 billion from March 2015 levels despite capital expenditure of Rs 115 billion and weak operations during the year.

“The proposed sale of the long products business to Greybull Capital (unrated) and the company’s intention to sell its UK business are credit positive, although there is no immediate impact on our ratings or outlook,” said Chaubal.

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